Donald Trump climbs down from threat to escalate trade war with Canada by doubling tariffs on steel and aluminium
The US president stepped back from his order after the provincial government of Ontario rowed back on a plan to charge 25% more for electricity it supplies to over 1.5 million American homes and businesses. Canada’s most populous province provides electricity to Minnesota, New York and Michigan.
As a result, White House trade adviser Peter Navarro said Mr Trump would not double steel and aluminium tariffs – but the federal government still plans to place a 25% tariff on all steel and aluminium imports from Wednesday.
Ontario’s response
In his initial response to Mr Trump’s threat, Ontario’s premier Doug Ford said he would not back down until the US leader’s tariffs on Canadian imports were “gone for good”.
But he later suspended the change temporarily, saying “cooler heads need to prevail” and he was confident the US president would also stand down on his plans.
Meanwhile, Canada’s incoming prime minister Mark Carney said he will keep other tariffs in place until Americans “show respect” and commit to free trade.
Mr Carney called the new tariffs threatened by Mr Trump an “attack” on Canadian workers, families and businesses.
Read more:
Analysis: Uncertainty index spikes amid on/off confusion over Trump tariffs
Please use Chrome browser for a more accessible video player
Why is Trump threatening tariffs?
Mr Trump has said he put the initial 25% tariffs on Canada because of fentanyl smuggling and high Canadian taxes on dairy imports, which penalise US farmers.
He has called for Canada to become part of the United States as its “cherished 51st state” as a solution, which has angered Canadian leaders.
Please use Chrome browser for a more accessible video player
Economic impact
Mr Trump’s turnaround comes after markets fell in response to his threat of doubling tariffs.
The stock market has fallen over the last two weeks and Harvard University economist Larry Summers put the odds of a recession at 50-50.
“All the emphasis on tariffs and all the ambiguity and uncertainty has both chilled demand and caused prices to go up,” the former treasury secretary for the Clinton administration posted on X on Monday.
“We are getting the worst of both worlds – concerns about inflation and an economic downturn and more uncertainty about the future and that slows everything.”
Investment bank Goldman Sachs revised down its growth forecast for this year from 2.2% to 1.7% and moderately increased its recession probability to 20% “because the White House has the option to pull back policy changes if downside risks begin to look more serious”.
Mr Trump has tried to reassure the American public that his tariffs will cause a bit of a “transition” to the economy as taxes spur more companies to begin the years-long process of relocating factories to the US to avoid tariffs.
Spreaker This content is provided by Spreaker, which may be using cookies and other technologies. To show you this content, we need your permission to use cookies. You can use the buttons below to amend your preferences to enable Spreaker cookies or to allow those cookies just once. You can change your settings at any time via the Privacy Options. Unfortunately we have been unable to verify if you have consented to Spreaker cookies. To view this content you can use the button below to allow Spreaker cookies for this session only.
👉 Follow Trump 100 on your podcast app 👈
Trump refuses to rule out recession
Mr Trump did not rule out the possibility of a recession during an interview with Fox News on Sunday, where he said: “I hate to predict things like that.”
On Tuesday, he was asked about a potential recession and said “I don’t see it at all” and claimed the US is “going to boom”.
On Monday, the S&P 500 stock index fell 2.7% and on Tuesday it was around 10% below its record set last month.
