13 more games in NFL Week 10, 13 must-read matchup previews: We have predictions, picks and keys to victory
-
NFL Nation, ESPNNov 8, 2024, 06:35 AM ET
The Week 10 NFL agenda for the 2024 season is loaded with extensive matchups, and we now fill you ever lined with what you fill got got to understand heading into the weekend.
Our NFL Nation journalists bring us the ideal keys to each game, and analytics writer Seth Walder makes a mettlesome prediction for every matchup. The ESPN Look at crew affords a substantial stat to understand and a making a bet nugget for every contest, while our Football Energy Index (FPI) goes contained within the numbers with a game projection. Story analyst Eric Moody finds memoir soccer X factors, and three analysts — Kalyn Kahler, Moody and Walder — give us final earn picks for every game. Every little thing you are eager on to wish to understand is right here in a single verbalize to allow you earn ready for a loaded weekend of NFL soccer.
Let’s earn into the elephantine Week 10 slate, at the side of the Giants and Panthers showdown in Munich, Germany, and 49ers working help Christian McCaffrey‘s season debut in opposition to the Buccaneers. All of it culminates with a “Monday Night Football” matchup between the Dolphins and the Rams on ESPN. (Game occasions are Sunday except otherwise famed.)
Soar to a matchup:
NYG-CAR | NE-CHI | BUF-IND
DEN-KC | ATL-NO | SF-TB
PIT-WSH | MIN-JAX | TEN-LAC
PHI-DAL | NYJ-ARI | DET-HOU
MIA-LAR
Thursday: BAL 35, CIN 34
Byes: CLE, GB, LV, SEA
Giants (2-7) at Panthers (2-7)
9:30 a.m. ET | NFL Network | ESPN BET: NYG -6.5 (40.5 O/U)
Giants storyline to stumble on: Right here is an uncommon verbalize for the Giants. They’re genuinely favorites on this contest despite coming in on a four-game skid. The Giants had been underdogs in 24 straight video games relationship help to Week 2 of ultimate season, their longest such stretch within the Enormous Bowl know-how (1970). The expectations now are drastically utterly different for quarterback Daniel Jones and company. The Giants wish to receive, and the heat will easiest intensify if they’re upset by the Panthers, who are underdogs for the thirtieth straight game. — Jordan Raanan
Panthers storyline to stumble on: Quarterback Bryce Younger will earn his third straight initiating after engineering his first NFL winning touchdown force ultimate week, nonetheless that came in opposition to a Saints crew depleted by accidents. He’ll possible fill again with rookie working help Jonathon Brooks anticipated to manufacture his NFL debut. The difficulty will be stopping the Giants’ speeding assault with a escape defense ranked ultimate within the NFL with 159.3 yards allowed per game. — David Newton
Stat to understand: Jones has been sacked 27 occasions (fifth most of any QB within the NFL), nonetheless the Panthers fill factual 10 sacks on the season (2nd worst).
Fearless prediction: There’ll be zero touchdowns scored. This is able to beneficial bored and at a loss for words faces within the German crowd observing for to model an titillating American soccer game. As an different, they are going to earn Giants-Panthers, a matchup of two of the league’s worst teams. — Walder
Story X exclaim: Giants working help Tyrone Tracy Jr. The rookie has taken payment in Fresh York’s backfield, logging 17 or extra touches in four of his previous 5 video games. He furthermore has delivered 14-plus memoir factors in three of these. Against a Panthers defense that’s permitting basically the most memoir factors to working backs, Tracy is made up our minds up for one other unheard of efficiency. Look Week 10 rankings. — Moody
Having a bet nugget: Unders are 3-0 in Germany video games, with each game finishing at least eight factors underneath the closing entire. Be taught extra.
Kahler’s decide: Giants 23, Panthers 13
Moody’s decide: Giants 23, Panthers 20
Walder’s decide: Giants 12, Panthers 9
FPI prediction: NYG, 66.4% (by an life like of 6.1 factors)
Matchup must-reads: Interior commerce that brought lunge rusher Burns to Giants … Panthers face yet one other frail first-rounder in Burns
Patriots (2-7) at Bears (4-4)
1 p.m. ET | FOX | ESPN BET: CHI -6.5 (38.5 O/U)
Patriots storyline to stumble on: Quarterback Drake Maye, the No. 3 decide, will manufacture his fifth NFL initiating and acknowledged seeing No. 1 decide quarterback Caleb Williams on the reverse sideline is motivating to him. “I’ve viewed him since highschool. We would lunge to the identical camps, we had been at the Elite 11 with each utterly different. We got some college visits together. We saved up with each utterly different in college, we had been web page visitors, and I loved observing him enact his exclaim. Now I earn of project to compete, so any time you would be going up in opposition to a rookie quarterback within the identical class, it is a ways a exiguous bit extra.” — Mike Reiss
Bears storyline to stumble on: Wide receiver DJ Moore has had a smooth initiating to the season other than his breakout efficiency in Week 5 (105 yards, 2 TDs). Collectively with Chicago’s loss at Arizona in Week 9, Moore has 80 receiving yards entire in his previous three video games and has by no device been held underneath 40 receiving yards in four consecutive video games. Each Moore and Williams acknowledged that their on-field chemistry is now not where it needs to be. “We discuss the entire time, we chortle and shaggy dog tale the entire time and issues like that, nonetheless I have confidence talking a exiguous bit bit extra and communicating a exiguous bit bit extra about specifics of how I glance it and the ways he sees it, ways he is seeing it and then preserve going from there,” Williams acknowledged. — Courtney Cronin
Stat to understand: The Patriots fill gone seven consecutive video games with out reaching 300 yards, their longest trudge since 1992 to 1993 (10 straight).
Fearless prediction: The Bears will sack Maye 5 or extra occasions. Chicago’s defensive front, with its fifth-ranked lunge escape receive rate (47.4%), should smooth feast in opposition to Fresh England’s thirty 2nd-ranked lunge block receive rate (Forty eight.6%). — Walder
Story X exclaim: Bears working help D’Andre Swift. The most productive plot for Chicago to lunge at the Patriots is on the bottom. Fresh England’s defense is giving up the sixth-most memoir factors per game to working backs. Swift has scored 19-plus memoir factors in four of his previous 5 video games. Look Week 10 rankings. — Moody
Having a bet nugget: The Patriots fill lined help-to-help video games after going 0-5 ATS of their outdated 5 video games. Be taught extra.
Kahler’s decide: Bears 24, Patriots 17
Moody’s decide: Bears 23, Patriots 17
Walder’s decide: Bears 17, Patriots 13
FPI prediction: CHI, 72.7% (by an life like of 9.5 factors)
Matchup must-reads: Which remaining game is most important for Patriots? … Why QB Williams, Bears’ offense battle … QB Williams, WR Moore smooth hunting for chemistry
Why the over each as soon as in a while is a factual bet in Patriots-Bears
Tyler Fulghum breaks down why he thinks rookie QBs Caleb Williams and Drake Maye will save factors on the scoreboard within the Week 10 matchup between the Patriots and Bears.
Bills (7-2) at Colts (4-5)
1 p.m. ET | CBS | ESPN BET: BUF -4 (47.5 O/U)
Bills storyline to stumble on: Quarterback Josh Allen has started the season with an MVP candidate efficiency and is amongst the favorites to receive the award, per ESPN BET (+300). He has thrown easiest two interceptions, neither of which fill been his fault. Going in opposition to the Colts, nonetheless, Allen can also be with out two huge receivers as Amari Cooper, who missed ultimate week’s game, and Keon Coleman address wrist accidents. The Bills’ offense can also count noteworthy extra on working the ball in opposition to an Indianapolis defense that has allowed the 2nd-most speeding yards per game (149.8). — Alaina Getzenberg
Colts storyline to stumble on: The Colts’ defense continues its confounding season, for the length of which it has given up necessary yardage nonetheless saved video games shut. Indianapolis ranks twenty ninth in yards allowed, with 383.6 yards per game. Handiest the Patriots and Panthers fill an even bigger yards deficit between them and their opponents. However the Colts allow easiest 21.4 factors per game (12th). Can their horrible formulation work in opposition to a Buffalo offense that’s fourth in scoring (28.1 factors per game)? — Stephen Holder
Stat to understand: The Colts are the fourth crew in NFL history to fill each of their first nine video games made up our minds by one-earn margins.
Fearless prediction: If Cooper plays — he became minute in prepare this week — he’ll fetch a 40-plus-yard lunge. No crew permits the next air yards per strive (10.3) than the Colts. — Walder
Story X exclaim: Bills working help James Cook. The Colts’ defense ranks amongst the worst in opposition to working backs, permitting the 2nd-most speeding yards (149.8) per game. Cook’s versatile capability save is appropriate to milk these weaknesses. Look Week 10 rankings. — Moody
Having a bet nugget: The Colts are 4-0 ATS at residence this season and 5-1 ATS as underdogs. Be taught extra.
Kahler’s decide: Bills 28, Colts 21
Moody’s decide: Bills 33, Colts 21
Walder’s decide: Bills 30, Colts 16
FPI prediction: BUF, 64.7% (by an life like of 5.7 factors)
Matchup must-reads: Will Richardson ever reclaim his QB1 role in Indy? … Can Bills fresh defenders manufacture an affect? Can WRs earn healthy? … Flacco to preserve Colts QB1 despite offense’s season-low output
Broncos (5-4) at Chiefs (8-0)
1 p.m. ET | CBS | ESPN BET: KC -8 (41.5 O/U)
Broncos storyline to stumble on: Put together to stumble on two of the league’s most aggressive defenses. The Broncos are ranked third in proportion of opponents dropbacks that lead to successful, sack or duress for quarterbacks (37.4%), while the Chiefs are eighth at 34.2%. The Broncos will strive to be excellent in how they escape Patrick Mahomes, given his success in opposition to blitzes, nonetheless they’ve tried within the previous to bring some off-ball strain. So the right query is how rookie Bo Nix handles the Chiefs’ escape. Nix has been sacked 11 occasions within the previous 5 video games. The Broncos fill yet to receive when he has been sacked and has an interception within the identical game. — Jeff Legwold
Chiefs storyline to stumble on: The Chiefs had anguish working successfully within the two video games in opposition to the Broncos ultimate season, scoring one touchdown and a total of 28 factors. Mahomes became intercepted three occasions and sacked 5 occasions. The Chiefs are within the next verbalize now offensively, averaging about 28 factors per game over their previous four. But can they decide out Denver’s defense, which even after ultimate week’s torching by the Ravens is third in scoring (17.9 factors per game) and sixth in yards (295.2)? — Adam Teicher
Stat to understand: The Broncos are having a model to receive consecutive video games versus Kansas City for the foremost time since winning seven straight from 2012 to 2015.
Why Fulghum is a piece of leaning against the Broncos on Sunday
Tyler Fulghum explains why he is leaning against taking the factors with the Broncos of their matchup in opposition to the Chiefs in Week 10.
Fearless prediction: Chiefs huge receiver DeAndre Hopkins will fetch no higher than one lunge in opposition to Pat Surtain II. Surtain has factual a 10% purpose rate allowed, third lowest amongst exterior corners with at least 100 coverage snaps. — Walder
Story X exclaim: Chiefs working help Kareem Hunt. The Broncos’ secondary has allowed the sixth-fewest passing yards per game, nonetheless Mahomes is now not your long-established quarterback. Hunt’s twin-threat capability would be key on this matchup. He has 22 or extra touches in three straight video games and 18-plus memoir factors in two of these. Look Week 10 rankings. — Moody
Having a bet nugget: The Broncos are 0-3 ATS in opposition to teams with winning files this season. Be taught extra.
Kahler’s decide: Broncos 24, Chiefs 21
Moody’s decide: Broncos 27, Chiefs 24
Walder’s decide: Chiefs 23, Broncos 17
FPI prediction: KC, 76.5% (by an life like of 10.9 factors)
Matchup must-reads: Broncos model to flip web page in opposition to Chiefs … Mahomes in a position to switch around, would possibly perchance now not be minute on danger ankle
Falcons (6-3) at Saints (2-7)
1 p.m. ET | FOX | ESPN BET: ATL -4 (46.5 O/U)
Falcons storyline to stumble on: Quarterback Kirk Cousins struggled within the foremost game in opposition to the Saints in Week 4, smooth getting extinct to a brand fresh offense and fresh targets. Atlanta failed to earn an offensive touchdown. From Week 5 on, Cousins has the 2nd-most passing yards (1,464) within the league and, total, the Saints’ defense permits the fourth-most passing yards within the NFL (2,279). — Marc Raimondi
Saints storyline to stumble on: The Saints fired Dennis Allen on Monday, they most steadily’re going to face the Falcons with period in-between coach Darren Rizzi, who promised ardour, fight and a crew that’s “now not dreary to stumble on.” The Saints fill lost their previous seven video games, sparking predominant changes — to boot to Allen’s firing, they furthermore traded neatly-known particular person cornerback Marshon Lattimore on Tuesday. That device the pinnacle two cornerbacks this weekend will be Alontae Taylor and potentially rookie Kool-Wait on McKinstry, who missed ultimate week due to the a hamstring difficulty. — Katherine Terrell
Stat to understand: The Saints fill six touchdown passes by eight video games. The final observe time they’d seven or fewer passing TDs over an eight-game span became in 2005.
Fearless prediction: Saints defensive lineman Carl Granderson will save up a sack. Falcons correct address Kaleb McGary has factual an 82% lunge block receive rate, which ranks 59th out of 67 qualifying tackles, and Granderson each as soon as in a while strains up on that aspect. — Walder
Story X exclaim: Falcons huge receiver Darnell Mooney is in a extensive verbalize, no subject Drake London‘s dilemma due to the a hip injury. The Saints’ defense is permitting the fifth-most receiving yards to huge receivers, and Mooney has had 18 or extra memoir factors in consecutive video games. Look Week 10 rankings. — Moody
Having a bet nugget: All seven NFC South matchups fill gone over the entire this season. NFC South matchups are averaging 58.7 factors per game. Be taught extra.
Kahler’s decide: Falcons 34, Saints 24
Moody’s decide: Falcons 38, Saints 21
Walder’s decide: Saints 24, Falcons 23
FPI prediction: ATL 51.8% (by an life like of 0.6 factors)
Matchup must-reads: Falcons rally around Raheem Morris’ ‘Outrun the South’ fight exclaim … What does Dennis Allen’s firing indicate for Saints, QB Carr? … Falcons originate on easiest initiating since Enormous Bowl season
49ers (4-4) at Buccaneers (4-5)
1 p.m. ET | FOX | ESPN BET: SF -6 (50.5 O/U)
49ers storyline to stumble on: All eyes will be on working help Christian McCaffrey as he is anticipated to manufacture his return from Achilles tendinitis. His workload will rely on how the week of prepare goes, nonetheless there’s now not any query the Niners can use him in opposition to a Bucs defense that blitzes defensive backs at the third-absolute top rate within the NFL (18%). Niners quarterback Brock Purdy has struggled in opposition to such seems this season, posting a 13.0 QBR that ranks thirty 2nd within the league. Getting McCaffrey help as a security valve should smooth again and, potentially, force Tampa Bay to ponder twice earlier than continuing to dial these blitzes up at such a volume. — Slash Wagoner
Buccaneers storyline to stumble on: The Bucs are 0-3 in opposition to the 49ers since Todd Bowles became their defensive playcaller in 2019, they most steadily’ve dropped their previous three video games with out Educated Bowl receivers Mike Evans and Chris Godwin. Granted, they took the NFL’s easiest unbeaten crew — the Chiefs — into time previous legislation on Monday night, nonetheless that coincided with Bowles’ controversial option now not to lunge for a two-point conversion with 30 seconds to play. A victory would absolutely smooth his critics and affords the Bucs some again within the wild-card escape because the Falcons already fill a two-game lead within the NFC South. — Jenna Laine
Stat to understand: The Buccaneers fill allowed 34 factors per game for the length of their three-game losing trudge, which is the 2nd most for the length of that span (the Titans fill allowed 34.3).
Fearless prediction: 49ers edge rusher Slash Bosa will sack quarterback Baker Mayfield. Bosa plays a exiguous bit extra reverse the exact address and when he does he’ll earn the a ways simpler matchup of Luke Goedeke (compared to Tristan Wirfs). My sack model affords Bosa a fifty three% likelihood to set at least one sack within the sport. — Walder
Accidents: 49ers | Buccaneers
Story X exclaim: Purdy. He is made up our minds up for a substantial game in opposition to the Buccaneers, who’ve allowed the 2nd-most memoir factors per game to quarterbacks. With one of many absolute top totals on the slate, Purdy and his receiving playmakers are save as much as capitalize. Purdy has scored 24-plus memoir factors in two of his previous three video games. Look Week 10 rankings. — Moody
Having a bet nugget: Mayfield is 0-4 ATS as at least a six-point residence underdog (0-1 with Buccaneers). Be taught extra.
Kahler’s decide: Buccaneers 30, 49ers 24
Moody’s decide: 49ers 31, Buccaneers 28
Walder’s decide: 49ers 34, Buccaneers 13
FPI prediction: SF, fifty three.3% (by an life like of 1.3 factors)
Matchup must-reads: Why the 49ers are impressed by their rookie class … Otton picking up where Evans, Godwin left off
Is matchup vs. Buccaneers a must-receive game for 49ers?
Dan Orlovsky, Jason McCourty and Kimberley A. Martin break down the importance of the 49ers’ game vs. the Buccaneers.
Steelers (6-2) at Commanders (7-2)
1 p.m. ET | CBS | ESPN BET: WSH -2.5 (44.5 O/U)
Steelers storyline to stumble on: The each as soon as in a while expansive Steelers escape defense faltered in its ultimate game earlier than the bye, permitting Giants rookie working help Tyrone Tracy Jr. to escape for 145 yards, marking the foremost time the defense allowed a 100-yard rusher all season. The Steelers decide to fill their hands elephantine all all over again with a Commanders escape game that ranks third within the NFL with 163.9 speeding yards per game. No longer easiest enact the Steelers wish to tale for 2 succesful backs, nonetheless rookie quarterback Jayden Daniels‘ 459 yards is 2nd to easiest Ravens’ Lamar Jackson in quarterback speeding yards. The Steelers took a step to shore up their escape defense by acquiring Packers edge rusher Preston Smith at the commerce gash-off date, nonetheless he would possibly perchance now not be as much as amble by Sunday. — Brooke Pryor
Commanders storyline to stumble on: Washington has allowed 5.0 yards per elevate or extra in 5 video games this season and a blended 366 yards speeding within the previous two video games blended. Phase of the exclaim has been desiring to raise two safeties deep higher than they’d desire to, which they hope will lessen when fresh cornerback Marshon Lattimore is able to play. Sunday, the Commanders must take care of a speeding assault that ranks eighth within the NFL in yards per game (138.1). It is extra of a consistent bludgeoning than long, flashy runs because the Steelers life like 4.2 yards per elevate. That makes this complicated for Washington. — John Keim
Stat to understand: The Commanders fill gone four straight video games with out a turnover, which is the franchise’s longest trudge since turnovers had been first tracked in 1933.
Fearless prediction: Fresh Steelers huge receiver Mike Williams will fill underneath two receptions. I imagine his playing time would be minute on a brand fresh crew. nonetheless I’m furthermore skeptical in classic given his low level of play in Fresh York. He had factual a 28 initiate earn and 0.8 yards per route escape with the Jets. — Walder
Accidents: Steelers | Commanders
Story X exclaim: Steelers working help Najee Harris. The Commanders’ offense ranks third in entire yards (392) and factors per game (28.4), so Pittsburgh will desire to manipulate the clock. The Steelers incorrect sixth in time of possession (31:42), and that starts with their working game. Harris has had 16-plus touches and 16-plus memoir factors in three straight video games. Look Week 10 rankings. — Moody
Having a bet nugget: The Commanders are 5-0 ATS as favorites this season and 4-0 ATS at residence. Be taught extra.
Kahler’s decide: Commanders 28, Steelers 25
Moody’s decide: Commanders 23, Steelers 20
Walder’s decide: Commanders 27, Steelers 19
FPI prediction: WSH, fifty three.0% (by an life like of 1.5 factors)
Matchup must-reads: Fresh WR Williams provides depth the Steelers need … Lattimore: Change pushes Commanders nearer to Enormous Bowl
Vikings (6-2) at Jaguars (2-7)
1 p.m. ET | FOX | ESPN BET: MIN -7 (44.5 O/U)
Vikings storyline to stumble on: With a receive, the Vikings would match their 2023 season receive entire (seven) and exceed their preseason receive projection from ESPN’s Football Energy Index (6.8). They fabricate now not most steadily play the Jaguars, having matched up seven occasions of their history and losing to them easiest as soon as (in 2001). But fresh left address Cam Robinson should smooth present some priceless insight, for the explanation that Vikings obtained him from Jacksonville two weeks ago. — Kevin Seifert
Jaguars storyline to stumble on: With quarterback Trevor Lawrence combating a left shoulder injury, backup Mac Jones can also manufacture his first initiating since Week 12 of the 2023 season with Fresh England. Lawrence has missed easiest one game in his career (Week 17 of 2023). The Jaguars are 2-12 in Lawrence’s previous 14 starts, and he has thrown 20 touchdowns and 11 interceptions over that span. Jones is 2-10 and has 13 TD passes and 15 interceptions in his previous 12 starts. — Mike DiRocco
Stat to understand: The Vikings’ 13 interceptions lead the NFL. That is their most within the foremost eight video games since 2003.
Why Sam Darnold needs to be in memoir lineups in Week 10
Self-discipline Yates and Mike Clay indicate why Sam Darnold needs to be in memoir lineups in a honest matchup vs. the Jaguars.
Fearless prediction: Jaguars edge rusher Josh Hines-Allen will tale a sack. Despite the undeniable truth that Robinson became precise in his debut as a Viking, he smooth has easiest an 83% lunge block receive rate on the season. I admire Hines-Allen’s potentialities to earn a sack previous his broken-down teammate. — Walder
Story X exclaim: Vikings quarterback Sam Darnold. He faces a Jaguars defense that has allowed basically the most memoir factors per game to quarterbacks. With high receiving targets Justin Jefferson and Jordan Addison, Darnold is made up our minds to milk this matchup. He has scored 18 or extra memoir factors in help-to-help video games. Look Week 10 rankings. — Moody
Having a bet nugget: 5 straight Jaguars video games fill gone over the entire. Be taught extra.
Kahler’s decide: Vikings 33, Jaguars 20
Moody’s decide: Vikings 34, Jaguars 21
Walder’s decide: Vikings 24, Jaguars 9
FPI prediction: MIN, 59.6% (by an life like of 3.2 factors)
Matchup must-reads: What did coach O’Connell change to initiate up Vikings’ offense? … Jaguars’ sluggish starts tied to third-down factors in first half … Jaguars DE Walker’s first TD became preceded by rock, paper, scissors
Titans (2-6) at Chargers (5-3)
4:05 p.m. ET | FOX | ESPN BET: LAC -7.5 (38.5 O/U)
Titans storyline to stumble on: Each the Titans and Chargers desire to sluggish the sport down with their physical, ball-administration offenses. Tennessee’s 32:34 time of possession is fourth easiest within the league, nonetheless the Chargers will now not be a ways within the help of with a 31:16 life like (11th). Titans quarterback Will Levis (shoulder) is made up our minds to manufacture his return and would possibly perchance simply be desirous to manufacture substantial plays, so the Titans team has to manufacture obvious that he would now not press. “We genuinely desire to manipulate,” offensive coordinator Slash Holz acknowledged. “No longer easiest manage the sport nonetheless fight by the progressions, preserve it up agenda, preserve environment pleasant and roughly lunge from there.” — Turron Davenport
Chargers storyline to stumble on: The Chargers fill been amongst the ideal passing offenses within the NFL in latest weeks, with the 2nd-most passing yards per game of their previous three weeks (279.3). The Titans, nonetheless, are the NFL’s easiest lunge defense, permitting a league-low 155.8 yards per game. For that motive, this each as soon as in a while is a substantial game for Chargers working help J.Ok. Dobbins, who had 105 entire yards and two touchdowns ultimate week in a receive over the Browns. — Kris Rhim
Stat to understand: The Titans fill allowed easiest one quarterback to throw for higher than 300 yards this season (Buffalo’s Josh Allen, 323). The next-closest quarterback became Fresh England’s Drake Maye, who threw for 206 ultimate week.
Fearless prediction: Chargers quarterback Justin Herbert will strive at least 32 passes. Since their Week 5 bye, the Chargers fill genuinely passed two proportion factors over expectation per downside, per NFL Subsequent Gen Stats. — Walder
Story X exclaim: Dobbins. He had 16 touches in four straight video games, with two video games hitting 21 or extra. And in three of these video games, Dobbins scored at least 17 memoir factors. With the Chargers entering as heavy favorites, request them to lean extra on Dobbins. Look Week 10 rankings. — Moody
Having a bet nugget: The Titans are 1-7 ATS this season, which is the worst within the NFL. Be taught extra.
Kahler’s decide: Chargers 30, Titans 17
Moody’s decide: Chargers 27, Titans 12
Walder’s decide: Chargers 27, Titans 16
FPI prediction: LAC, 66.5% (by an life like of 6.5 factors)
Matchup must-reads: Westbrook-Ikhine dons ‘Honda Accord’ T-shirt after TD rob … Chargers fill discovered crew bonding job: shuffleboard … Titans lose starters Cushenberry, Diggs for rest of season
Eagles (6-2) at Cowboys (3-5)
4:25 p.m. ET | CBS | ESPN BET: PHI -7 (43.5 O/U)
Eagles storyline to stumble on: Working help Saquon Barkley is 0-10 in career in opposition to the Cowboys. All of these losses, though, came as a member of the Giants. He is with a extra talented community in Philadelphia now and has absolutely flourished by eight video games. Barkley is averaging 5.9 yards per elevate and ranks 2nd in speeding yards per game (115.6) within the help of easiest the Ravens’ Derrick Henry (116.9). Coming off an electrical, reverse-hurdling efficiency in opposition to Jacksonville, Barkley seems neatly positioned to earn off the schneid in opposition to Dallas. — Tim McManus
Cowboys storyline to stumble on: Most steadily, returning residence has been a factual exclaim for the Cowboys. No longer in 2024. They’re 0-3 after having gained 16 straight long-established-season video games at AT&T Stadium from 2022 to 2023. They fill got been outscored by 66 factors in these defeats. And they would possibly perchance now not fill quarterback Dak Prescott, who’s out due to the a hamstring injury. Cooper Speed is 5-1 filling in for Prescott, nonetheless his one loss came in 2022 in opposition to the Eagles when he became intercepted three occasions. A loss Sunday could be Dallas’ fourth straight, which would possibly perchance perchance be its longest trudge since 2020. — Todd Archer
Stat to understand: The Cowboys are 17-1 in division video games at residence since 2018, which is the ideal in NFL. They’ve gained their previous 10.
Fearless prediction: Eagles backup working help Kenneth Gainwell or Will Shipley will earn a touchdown. The blowout will be on to the purpose that the Eagles will be in a position to rest slack. The Cowboys can’t conclude the escape no subject who’s carrying the ball. — Walder
Story X exclaim: Eagles huge receiver DeVonta Smith. He has viewed six or extra targets in help-to-help video games, placing up 18-plus memoir factors at any time when. With A.J. Brown going by a knee injury, Smith is in a extensive verbalize. The Cowboys’ secondary has struggled in opposition to receivers, and Smith has averaged 14.0 memoir factors per game in opposition to Dallas. Look Week 10 rankings. — Moody
Having a bet nugget: The Cowboys are 1-6 ATS of their previous seven video games and 0-3 ATS of their previous three. Be taught extra.
Kahler’s decide: Eagles 38, Cowboys 12
Moody’s decide: Eagles 28, Cowboys 14
Walder’s decide: Eagles 35, Cowboys 10
FPI prediction: PHI. 69.1% (by an life like of 7.8 factors)
Matchup must-reads: Cowboys vs. Eagles in NFC East: Coaches, gamers, extra stats … Saquon’s reverse hurdle leaves Eagles ‘speechless’ … Enact 3-5 Cowboys smooth fill a playoff direction by NFC East?
What would placing Dak Prescott on IR indicate for Cowboys?
Adam Schefter experiences on several questions for the Cowboys surrounding Dak Prescott’s hamstring injury.
Jets (3-6) at Cardinals (5-4)
4:25 p.m. ET | CBS | ESPN BET: NYJ -1.5 (46.5 O/U)
Jets storyline to stumble on: To receive their 2nd straight and preserve alive their faint playoff hopes, the Jets must private working help James Conner and quarterback Kyler Murray‘s scrambling. They fill got struggled in opposition to the escape (132.6 yards per game, which ranks 21st), they most steadily’ve been uncovered by mobile quarterbacks. In actuality, the Jets fill surrendered 209 skedaddle yards, fifth most within the league. It has been a huge point of emphasis this week in prepare. — Filthy rich Cimini
Cardinals storyline to stumble on: If the Cardinals desire to enhance their winning trudge to four in a row, which would possibly perchance furthermore be their fifth in six video games, then they must continue doing what they’ve been doing fair currently: winning any plot imaginable. Final week in opposition to the Bears, it became working for 213 yards, every week after throwing for 307 in opposition to the Dolphins. After which the Cardinals must private quarterback Aaron Rodgers. Coach Jonathan Gannon acknowledged the Cardinals will now not be going to be in a position to trick Rodgers, and he is factual at now not getting hit, so Arizona will wish to receive its one-on-ones to verify out to counter Rodgers’ capability. — Josh Weinfuss
Stat to understand: The Cardinals are permitting opponents to convert on Forty eight.2% of third-down makes an strive, which is the 2nd-absolute top rate within the NFL within the help of the Panthers.
Fearless prediction: Jets cornerback D.J. Reed will tale an interception. Reed has had a extensive season up to now, with 0.8 yards per coverage snap allowed, per NFL Subsequent Gen Stats. — Walder
Story X exclaim: Murray. He save up a season-low 4.7 memoir factors ultimate week in opposition to the Bears. But he became extra of a game manager for the explanation that Cardinals led for many of the sport. This week, Murray faces a Jets defense that allowed 24.4 memoir factors to Josh Allen in Week 6 and 24.8 to Russell Wilson in Week 7. Look Week 10 rankings. — Moody
Having a bet nugget: The Jets are 0-3 ATS as underdogs this season and 2-9 ATS of their previous 11 video games as underdogs. Be taught extra.
Kahler’s decide: Cardinals 27, Jets 21
Moody’s decide: Jets 20, Cardinals 19
Walder’s decide: Cardinals 24, Jets 23
FPI prediction: ARI, 50.9% (by an life like of 0.3 factors)
Matchup must-reads: WR Wilson visits Harlem soup kitchen after comfy fetch … Why WR Harrison’s ‘subsequent-level’ work ethic is stuff of lore … WR Corley learns from touchdown blooper … ‘We are for right’: How Cardinals fill gained three straight
Lions (7-1) at Texans (6-3)
8:20 p.m. ET | NBC/Peacock | ESPN BET: DET -3.5 (Forty eight.5 O/U)
Lions storyline to stumble on: Lions receiver Jameson Williams will return after serving a two-game suspension for violating the NFL’s efficiency-making improvements to substances coverage. The Lions fill gained help-to-help video games with out Williams, with the offense averaging 38 factors, nonetheless coach Dan Campbell intends to throw him help within the combine correct now. “He is locked and in a position to lunge, so I have confidence he’ll reach correct out of this on high,” Campbell acknowledged. No subject lacking two video games, Williams is Detroit’s 2nd-leading receiver within the help of Amon-Ra St. Brown (464) with 17 receptions for 361 yards and three touchdowns. — Eric Woodyard
Texans storyline to stumble on: In video games in opposition to teams with winning files, the Texans are 1-2 while being outscored 75-52. The Lions reach in with the league’s absolute top point differential (110) and life like 32.3 factors per game. The Lions latest the ideal difficulty the Texans fill viewed this season, and the Texans’ easiest defensive lineman, Will Anderson Jr., would possibly perchance now not play after suffering an ankle injury in opposition to the Jets. — DJ Bien-Aime
Stat to understand: The final observe time the Lions started 8-1 or better became 1954. They reached the NFL Championship Game that year, losing to the Browns.
Rodgers impressed by Jared Goff’s season in Detroit
Aaron Rodgers raves to Pat McAfee about Jared Goff’s accuracy this season with the Detroit Lions.
Fearless prediction: Lions defensive address Alim McNeill will tale a sack. McNeill has 2.5 sacks on the season, and his 11% lunge escape receive rate at defensive address ranks Tenth at the region. He can fill shut motivate of the Texans’ feeble inner offensive line. — Walder
Story X exclaim: Texans huge receiver Tank Dell. The Lions’ weakness is defending the lunge; they’re permitting the third-most memoir factors to receivers. Although Nico Collins is help, Dell should smooth preserve heavily enthusiastic with Stefon Diggs out for the season due to the a torn ACL. Look Week 10 rankings. — Moody
Having a bet nugget: Unders are 7-1 within the Texans’ previous eight video games. Unders are 4-0 in Texans residence video games. Be taught extra.
Kahler’s decide: Lions 34, Texans 27
Moody’s decide: Lions 31, Texans 24
Walder’s decide: Lions 21, Texans 17
FPI prediction: DET, 61.6% (by an life like of 4.7 factors)
Matchup must-reads: Department apologizes for flipping off Inexperienced Bay crowd … Texans to debut ‘fight crimson’ uniforms on SNF … How a 1-in-780,000 completions trudge explains the Goff-St. Brown connection … Texans, Stroud know they wish to excellent 2nd-half struggles
Dolphins (2-6) at Rams (4-4)
Monday, 8:15 p.m. ET | ESPN | ESPN BET: LAR -1 (50.5 O/U)
Dolphins storyline to stumble on: Thru the foremost seven weeks of the season, the Dolphins’ offense ranked ineffective ultimate within the league in anticipated factors added (EPA) with minus-67.7. Within the two video games since quarterback Tua Tagovailoa‘s return from a four-game absence, that quantity has improved to 25.3 — factual for 2nd easiest within the NFL. Miami’s resurgent offense will get a stiff check in opposition to a Rams defense that leads the league in EPA for the length of its latest three-game receive trudge. — Marcel Louis-Jacques
Rams storyline to stumble on: The Rams fill basically the most passing yards per game (196.8), most completions per game (16.3) and the fourth-most first downs per game (9.0) when focused on huge receivers, per ESPN Look at. But this season, Miami has had success limiting manufacturing from that region. The Dolphins fill allowed the fourth-fewest completions per game (9.6), fourth-fewest passing yards per game (118.5) and the eighth-fewest first downs per game (6.1) when opponents purpose huge receivers. — Sarah Barshop
Stat to understand: The Rams’ defense has scored in four consecutive video games. According to Elias Sports actions Bureau, easiest two teams fill performed that in 5 straight video games (the 1952 Rams and 1994 Raiders).
Fearless prediction: Each teams will hit a play-motion play or at least 25 yards. Fancy most offenses within the Sean McVay-Kyle Shanahan coaching tree, each of theses objects use their beautiful share of play motion (they each incorrect within the pinnacle 10 in usage rate). And the Rams’ and Dolphins’ defenses incorrect twenty ninth and 24th in EPA allowed to play motion, respectively. — Walder
Story X exclaim: Dolphins huge receiver Jaylen Plug. He has factual eight targets and 16.1 memoir factors over the previous two video games. This week, nonetheless, he faces a Rams secondary that has allowed the 11th-most memoir factors per game to huge receivers, making him an exact flex possibility. Look Week 10 rankings. — Moody
Having a bet nugget: The Dolphins are 1-7 ATS of their previous eight video games as underdogs (0-8 outright). Be taught extra.
Kahler’s decide: Rams 27, Dolphins 21
Moody’s decide: Rams 28, Dolphins 21
Walder’s decide: Rams 26, Dolphins 20
FPI prediction: LAR, 54.8% (by an life like of two.1 factors)
Matchup must-reads: Poyer says illegal hit became ‘shipshape play’ … Rams put up longest NFL play this season with 103-yard decide-six